Major League Soccer predictions for Saturday, July 25, 2026
Model win probabilities and confidence tiers for every Major League Soccer game on Saturday, July 25, 2026, published before first pitch, tip or kick and graded automatically afterwards. Research and analytics only, not betting advice.
Major League Soccer matchups and model calls
- lossInter Miami CF at CF MontréalModel call: CF Montréal (68% confidence, Moderate) · Final 1-0
- winToronto FC at D.C. UnitedModel call: D.C. United (67% confidence, Moderate) · Final 1-2
- winAtlanta United FC at New England RevolutionModel call: New England Revolution (67% confidence, Moderate) · Final 1-4
- winSporting Kansas City at LAFCModel call: LAFC (67% confidence, Moderate) · Final 0-4
- winAustin FC at Houston Dynamo FCModel call: Houston Dynamo FC (67% confidence, Moderate) · Final 0-3
- PendingLA Galaxy at San Jose EarthquakesModel call: San Jose Earthquakes (67% confidence, Moderate) · Final 1-1
- PendingVancouver Whitecaps at Minnesota United FCModel call: Minnesota United FC (63% confidence, Lean) · Final 0-0
- winNashville SC at Orlando City SCModel call: Orlando City SC (63% confidence, Lean) · Final 0-1
- lossCharlotte FC at Red Bull New YorkModel call: Red Bull New York (60% confidence, Lean) · Final 2-0
- winFC Cincinnati at Columbus CrewNo published call, model passed on this game · Final 1-2
- winFC Dallas at San Diego FCNo published call, model passed on this game · Final 0-1
- winChicago Fire FC at New York City FCNo published call, model passed on this game · Final 1-3
- winSeattle Sounders FC at Philadelphia UnionNo published call, model passed on this game · Final 0-1
- winColorado Rapids at St. Louis CITY SCNo published call, model passed on this game · Final 0-1
- winReal Salt Lake at Portland TimbersNo published call, model passed on this game · Final 1-2
How these Major League Soccer projections are built
Each matchup runs through an ensemble of opponent-adjusted efficiency, recent form, availability of key players, rest and travel, and sport-specific factors. The blended output is calibrated against past results before a confidence tier is assigned, and games below the league publish floor are recorded as a pass instead of a call.
What calibration meansReading the confidence tiers
Lean is a slight model preference, Moderate a clear one, and Strong is reserved for calls clearing both the confidence and edge floors for Major League Soccer. Every tier is graded separately in the public ledger, so you can check whether Strong calls actually outperform Lean calls over a real sample.
Confidence tiers explained