Major League Soccer predictions for Saturday, August 29, 2026
Model win probabilities and confidence tiers for every Major League Soccer game on Saturday, August 29, 2026, published before first pitch, tip or kick and graded automatically afterwards. Research and analytics only, not betting advice.
Major League Soccer matchups and model calls
- winCF Montréal at Inter Miami CFModel call: Inter Miami CF (73% confidence, Strong) · Final 1-7
- winFC Cincinnati at Nashville SCModel call: Nashville SC (72% confidence, Strong) · Final 0-4
- winLA Galaxy at San Diego FCModel call: San Diego FC (71% confidence, Strong) · Final 1-3
- lossPhiladelphia Union at Red Bull New YorkModel call: Red Bull New York (71% confidence, Strong) · Final 3-1
- PendingSan Jose Earthquakes at Houston Dynamo FCModel call: Houston Dynamo FC (71% confidence, Strong) · Final 0-0
- lossAustin FC at Portland TimbersModel call: Portland Timbers (71% confidence, Strong) · Final 2-1
- PendingOrlando City SC at Minnesota United FCModel call: Minnesota United FC (71% confidence, Strong) · Final 3-3
- PendingNew York City FC at Toronto FCModel call: Toronto FC (61% confidence, Lean) · Final 1-1
- winReal Salt Lake at Colorado RapidsModel call: Colorado Rapids (61% confidence, Lean) · Final 0-1
- lossVancouver Whitecaps at Sporting Kansas CityNo published call, model passed on this game · Final 3-0
- PassChicago Fire FC at Seattle Sounders FCNo published call, model passed on this game · Final 2-2
- lossCharlotte FC at Atlanta United FCNo published call, model passed on this game · Final 2-0
- PassLAFC at D.C. UnitedNo published call, model passed on this game · Final 0-0
How these Major League Soccer projections are built
Each matchup runs through an ensemble of opponent-adjusted efficiency, recent form, availability of key players, rest and travel, and sport-specific factors. The blended output is calibrated against past results before a confidence tier is assigned, and games below the league publish floor are recorded as a pass instead of a call.
What calibration meansReading the confidence tiers
Lean is a slight model preference, Moderate a clear one, and Strong is reserved for calls clearing both the confidence and edge floors for Major League Soccer. Every tier is graded separately in the public ledger, so you can check whether Strong calls actually outperform Lean calls over a real sample.
Confidence tiers explained