Major League Soccer predictions for Saturday, August 1, 2026
Model win probabilities and confidence tiers for every Major League Soccer game on Saturday, August 1, 2026, published before first pitch, tip or kick and graded automatically afterwards. Research and analytics only, not betting advice.
Major League Soccer matchups and model calls
- PendingNashville SC at D.C. UnitedModel call: D.C. United (68% confidence, Moderate) · Final 2-2
- winOrlando City SC at Red Bull New YorkModel call: Red Bull New York (67% confidence, Moderate) · Final 2-3
- PendingLAFC at Vancouver WhitecapsModel call: Vancouver Whitecaps (67% confidence, Moderate) · Final 1-1
- winSeattle Sounders FC at Portland TimbersModel call: Portland Timbers (67% confidence, Moderate) · Final 1-2
- PendingColumbus Crew at Inter Miami CFModel call: Inter Miami CF (67% confidence, Moderate) · Final 2-2
- winAtlanta United FC at Philadelphia UnionModel call: Philadelphia Union (67% confidence, Moderate) · Final 2-3
- winCharlotte FC at Chicago Fire FCModel call: Chicago Fire FC (67% confidence, Moderate) · Final 1-2
- winAustin FC at Colorado RapidsModel call: Colorado Rapids (67% confidence, Moderate) · Final 0-1
- PendingFC Dallas at LA GalaxyModel call: LA Galaxy (61% confidence, Lean) · Final 0-0
- winSan Jose Earthquakes at FC CincinnatiNo published call, model passed on this game · Final 2-4
- PassNew England Revolution at CF MontréalNo published call, model passed on this game · Final 2-2
- lossHouston Dynamo FC at Sporting Kansas CityNo published call, model passed on this game · Final 2-0
- PassSan Diego FC at Minnesota United FCNo published call, model passed on this game · Final 1-1
- PassReal Salt Lake at St. Louis CITY SCNo published call, model passed on this game · Final 1-1
How these Major League Soccer projections are built
Each matchup runs through an ensemble of opponent-adjusted efficiency, recent form, availability of key players, rest and travel, and sport-specific factors. The blended output is calibrated against past results before a confidence tier is assigned, and games below the league publish floor are recorded as a pass instead of a call.
What calibration meansReading the confidence tiers
Lean is a slight model preference, Moderate a clear one, and Strong is reserved for calls clearing both the confidence and edge floors for Major League Soccer. Every tier is graded separately in the public ledger, so you can check whether Strong calls actually outperform Lean calls over a real sample.
Confidence tiers explained