Major League Baseball predictions for Sunday, August 9, 2026
Model win probabilities and confidence tiers for every Major League Baseball game on Sunday, August 9, 2026, published before first pitch, tip or kick and graded automatically afterwards. Research and analytics only, not betting advice.
Major League Baseball matchups and model calls
- lossAthletics at Boston Red SoxModel call: Boston Red Sox (70% confidence, Strong) · Final 4-3
- winLos Angeles Dodgers at Arizona DiamondbacksNo published call, model passed on this game · Final 2-4
- lossAtlanta Braves at New York YankeesNo published call, model passed on this game · Final 2-1
- lossDetroit Tigers at San Francisco GiantsNo published call, model passed on this game · Final 3-1
- lossTampa Bay Rays at Seattle MarinersNo published call, model passed on this game · Final 4-1
- lossChicago Cubs at Kansas City RoyalsNo published call, model passed on this game · Final 10-2
- lossNew York Mets at Pittsburgh PiratesNo published call, model passed on this game · Final 11-1
- lossBaltimore Orioles at Texas RangersNo published call, model passed on this game · Final 10-5
- winCleveland Guardians at Chicago White SoxNo published call, model passed on this game · Final 3-5
- winCincinnati Reds at Washington NationalsNo published call, model passed on this game · Final 1-7
- winMinnesota Twins at Milwaukee BrewersNo published call, model passed on this game · Final 3-4
- winHouston Astros at San Diego PadresNo published call, model passed on this game · Final 2-7
- winToronto Blue Jays at Philadelphia PhilliesNo published call, model passed on this game · Final 6-7
- winColorado Rockies at St. Louis CardinalsNo published call, model passed on this game · Final 4-7
- winLos Angeles Angels at Miami MarlinsNo published call, model passed on this game · Final 3-12
How these Major League Baseball projections are built
Each matchup runs through an ensemble of opponent-adjusted efficiency, recent form, availability of key players, rest and travel, and sport-specific factors. The blended output is calibrated against past results before a confidence tier is assigned, and games below the league publish floor are recorded as a pass instead of a call.
What calibration meansReading the confidence tiers
Lean is a slight model preference, Moderate a clear one, and Strong is reserved for calls clearing both the confidence and edge floors for Major League Baseball. Every tier is graded separately in the public ledger, so you can check whether Strong calls actually outperform Lean calls over a real sample.
Confidence tiers explained