Major League Baseball predictions for Monday, August 24, 2026
Model win probabilities and confidence tiers for every Major League Baseball game on Monday, August 24, 2026, published before first pitch, tip or kick and graded automatically afterwards. Research and analytics only, not betting advice.
Major League Baseball matchups and model calls
- winColorado Rockies at Washington NationalsModel call: Washington Nationals (70% confidence, Strong) · Final 3-13
- lossPittsburgh Pirates at San Diego PadresModel call: San Diego Padres (70% confidence, Strong) · Final 3-2
- lossTexas Rangers at Chicago White SoxModel call: Chicago White Sox (70% confidence, Strong) · Final 11-2
- lossBoston Red Sox at Miami MarlinsNo published call, model passed on this game · Final 4-2
- lossChicago Cubs at Arizona DiamondbacksNo published call, model passed on this game · Final 7-0
- winCincinnati Reds at San Francisco GiantsNo published call, model passed on this game · Final 0-5
- lossMinnesota Twins at AthleticsNo published call, model passed on this game · Final 9-6
- lossTampa Bay Rays at Detroit TigersNo published call, model passed on this game · Final 4-1
- lossCleveland Guardians at Los Angeles AngelsNo published call, model passed on this game · Final 4-2
- winPhiladelphia Phillies at Seattle MarinersNo published call, model passed on this game · Final 2-9
How these Major League Baseball projections are built
Each matchup runs through an ensemble of opponent-adjusted efficiency, recent form, availability of key players, rest and travel, and sport-specific factors. The blended output is calibrated against past results before a confidence tier is assigned, and games below the league publish floor are recorded as a pass instead of a call.
What calibration meansReading the confidence tiers
Lean is a slight model preference, Moderate a clear one, and Strong is reserved for calls clearing both the confidence and edge floors for Major League Baseball. Every tier is graded separately in the public ledger, so you can check whether Strong calls actually outperform Lean calls over a real sample.
Confidence tiers explained