Major League Baseball predictions for Monday, August 31, 2026
Model win probabilities and confidence tiers for every Major League Baseball game on Monday, August 31, 2026, published before first pitch, tip or kick and graded automatically afterwards. Research and analytics only, not betting advice.
Major League Baseball matchups and model calls
- winDetroit Tigers at Minnesota TwinsModel call: Minnesota Twins (70% confidence, Strong) · Final 1-11
- winAthletics at Texas RangersModel call: Texas Rangers (70% confidence, Strong) · Final 1-8
- winSeattle Mariners at Boston Red SoxModel call: Boston Red Sox (70% confidence, Strong) · Final 8-9
- lossNew York Mets at Tampa Bay RaysModel call: Tampa Bay Rays (70% confidence, Strong) · Final 3-2
- lossSan Francisco Giants at Atlanta BravesNo published call, model passed on this game · Final 7-3
- lossBaltimore Orioles at Colorado RockiesNo published call, model passed on this game · Final 2-1
- lossSan Diego Padres at Cincinnati RedsNo published call, model passed on this game · Final 5-0
- winMilwaukee Brewers at Chicago CubsNo published call, model passed on this game · Final 3-17
- winNew York Yankees at Los Angeles AngelsNo published call, model passed on this game · Final 1-10
- winChicago White Sox at Houston AstrosNo published call, model passed on this game · Final 3-6
- winMiami Marlins at Washington NationalsNo published call, model passed on this game · Final 3-6
- lossPhiladelphia Phillies at Arizona DiamondbacksNo published call, model passed on this game · Final 2-1
How these Major League Baseball projections are built
Each matchup runs through an ensemble of opponent-adjusted efficiency, recent form, availability of key players, rest and travel, and sport-specific factors. The blended output is calibrated against past results before a confidence tier is assigned, and games below the league publish floor are recorded as a pass instead of a call.
What calibration meansReading the confidence tiers
Lean is a slight model preference, Moderate a clear one, and Strong is reserved for calls clearing both the confidence and edge floors for Major League Baseball. Every tier is graded separately in the public ledger, so you can check whether Strong calls actually outperform Lean calls over a real sample.
Confidence tiers explained